Wales Singini
Private Bag 201 Mzuzu 2
Malawi
Research Article
Forecasting Climate Change Pattern for Bolero Agriculture Extension Planning Area in Malawi
Author(s): Wales Singini, Mavuto Tembo and Chikondi BandaWales Singini, Mavuto Tembo and Chikondi Banda
Bolero community in Malawi, like most rural communities in Sub-Saharan Africa, is very vulnerable to climate variability and change because of its reliance on local biological diversity, ecosystem services, cultural and religious landscapes as source of sustenance and well-being. For this reason, a study was conducted to forecast climate change pattern for Bolero Agriculture Extension Planning Area based on temperature data from 1982 to 2013 in order to inform the policy makers and community on the future prospects of climate change and its effects. The data was collected by Malawi Government Department of Meteorology and Climate Change at Bolero weather station using fixed temperature recording thermometer. The study used Univariate Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average to model and forecast temperature variability. Based on ARIMA and its components autocorrelation and partial autoco.. View More»
