Department of Climate Science Research, Ethiopian Environment and Forest Research Institute, Addis A, Ethiopia
Research
Projections of future surface air temperature and precipitation for the Middle Awash River basins in Ethiopia using a statistical downscaling model (SDSM)
Author(s): Tesemash Abebe*
In recent decades, climate change has become a major environmental and socioeconomic challenge in Ethiopia. The study used the statistically downscaled daily data in 30-year intervals from the second generation of the Earth System Model (CanESM2) under three Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs): RCP2.6, 4.5, and 8.5 for three future time slices; near-term (2010-2039), midcentury (2040-2069), and end-century (2071-2099). The observed maximum and minimum temperature and precipitation values are a good simulation of the modeled data during the calibration and validation periods using the Pearson coefficient (R), the correlation coefficient (R2), and the Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE). In three sampled stations (Awash Arba, Shewa Robt, and Erer), there is a minor difference between all considered scenarios during the 2020s. The results of maximum and minimum temperature are expec.. View More»
DOI:
10.35248/2332-2594.22.11(1).1-9
